June 01, 2005

The Dutch Say NO

63%, two referenda in three days to say No. The next is Luxembourg which will probably say Yes, and after that Denmark where I expect a No.

What I also expect is that the ratification process will continue, and continue producing more No votes than yes when actually put to a popular vote rather than waved through in the parliaments. At the end of the ratifications there will either be a fudge, possibly involving the No voters having to vote again under threat of expulsion, and the constitution will be ratified anyway. Or if that does not happen then the new powers that the constitution will be implemented quietly under existing treaties. Either way Euroland is getting it's Foreign Service, and other increased trappings of the nation state that it aspires to be.


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